Both the City and state are facing severe budget problems.

0:00 Speaker 1 What is today is Hank Schenkoff, a good friend, a campaign manager, a campaign strategist. Hank has been around New York politics and in United States politics, but a whole one hundred years at least. Hank, give us an update.

0:19 What the heck is going on in New York?

0:22 Speaker 2 Well, John, actually I’ve been around about two hundred years, they tell me. But that’s how it feels sometimes. Look New York is in a crisis. The city is generally in a crisis. We’ve gone through better times and worse times, but we’re at pretty bad times right now. We have a mayor who’s being pounded in every direction, is being

0:39 pulled and tugged, and he’s doing the best he can. But there are certain things that you can’t do better about. We have a crumbling infrastructure. We were left with the mayor Deblasio, who left the city with a completely spent capital budget. We have a rising costs. The migrants are an impossible problem to face, and the federal money is

0:57 going to be gone soon. We have a a police department that badly needs to need new bodies, and these new people needs to replace retirees quickly because we’re losing people and on and on and on, and we have a financial picture that was gloomy when Mayor Adams came into office and has become even more gloomy since.

1:18 Speaker 1 And we got the budget coming up in the next couple of weeks in Aubany. And last week’s show, we had Governor Patterson and Governor Cuomo, Governor number of fifty five, Governor number fifty six giving some advice to Governor number fifty seven, our governor Hoko, who we love, but they told her that during the budget period, a governor has

1:47 extra power. During during Governor Patterson’s reign, he vetoed six over six thousand items and until the state legislature surrendered. What do you think what’s going on in Aubany. What is your pulse of what’s going on?

2:10 Speaker 2 Well, look, the legislature rolled Governor Huckle the first time around. They held her up on a judicial appointment that held up the budget. They made her look foolish. She appears to be stronger now and I think the legislature got the point that to function the cast Coco was newly defeated when she ran for election in twenty twenty two.

2:30 So that being said, they don’t want to have repeated that they don’t want to weaken the Democrat in Albany. Why because they want to do well in congressional elections and in their state legislative elections come the fall of twenty twenty four. So this won’t be as contentious as it might be, but they’ll still want to prove whose

2:48 boss the legislature well, and they want to show that they’re the boss and not the governor. So look for her to take a shellacking, but more so behind the scenes than upfront. The next budget twenty twenty five will be a very very different story though, And tell.

3:02 Speaker 1 Us that what other elections are coming up this November.

3:09 Speaker 2 In New York, Well, we have the Assembly, the State Senate, the State Senate, the State Assembly. The hope that the Democrats can reduce or take back some of the seats they lost to the Republicans in the Congress in twenty twenty two, which I think is kind of false in some ways. What else, You probably have a bunch of

3:29 local elections around the state that are not of significance, and we have the presidential election that’s important. New York states electoral vote numbers are very large. The last time a Republican won in New York state was in nineteen eighty the presidential campaign, So it’s not likely that Joe Biden loses of the state, but it is likely that

3:48 his numbers might go down somewhat. Why migrants, migrants and crime, Well, a.

3:54 Speaker 1 Lot of New Yorkers are very, very angry at the migrants, and it’s you know, it’s it’s not therefault, but when the White House kids permission to come in, you know, becomes a problem. At one point we talked about that, You’re a lot of people are moving out of New York. Well, at what point does it become a problem for the

4:24 state or city budget.

4:26 Speaker 2 It is a problem for the state and city budget now, John the fact that we’ve lost taxpayers. We’re not losing overall people who can’t pay taxes. We’re moving people who can pay taxes, don’t want to pay taxes, or entering into the middle class and believe they can get a better deal someplace else at lower cost. Not unreasonable. It’s

4:44 a problem now. It was a problem last year. It’s going to continue a problem. We lost what eighty thousand people last year, We’re going to lose more this year. Why it is impossibly expensive to live. The job market is changing and there are more opportunitier people in for example, to go to Texas, will you deliver the Dallas suburbs

5:02 where new cities are being created. Where in Houston where economic expansion is going on. Because the governments are much more, much less likely increase taxes of any kind or to put fees on people that are that some would feel unnecessary.

5:14 And it’s kind of there’s less rules. How’s that?

5:18 Speaker 1 And it’s unto anything else you want to get off your chest Sunday morning.

5:24 Speaker 2 Yeah, I always have things I want to get off my chest. Look as New York goes, so goes the nation. Crime issues that occur here a national stories because they occur in New York. The migrant stories and becomes more significant because it’s occurring in New York. If we can, if the president cannot figure out a way to make

5:40 it easier in the eyes, at least the migrants are somehow going to be under control. The suburban areas of New York City will remain in Republican control. That will be his legacy, at least locally, And that’s not a legacy any president would want.

5:54 Speaker 1 Hank Shankov, political campaign managers, strategists, everything in politics. Thank you for your wisdom. Thank you for bringing New Yorkers up to date, in Americans up to date. Thank you so much.

6:07 Speaker 2 Thank you, John, have a great day. Take you